ICMarket

Tuesday 21st May 2024: Technical Outlook and Review

DXY (US Dollar Index):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Factors contributing to the momentum is that price is: In a bearish descending channel

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 104.88

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance with confluence from the 38.20% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a level where selling pressure may intensify, potentially leading to a bearish reaction.

1st support: 104.09

Supporting reasons: Recognized as an overlap support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a support for downward movement.

1st resistance: 105.56

Supporting reasons: Noted as an overlap resistance with confluence from the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a significant area where selling pressure may be present, potentially hindering further upward movement.

EUR/USD:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Factors contributing to the momentum is that price is: Within the bullish Ichimoku cloud

Price could potentially make a: Bullish bounce off pivot and heads toward 1st resistance

Pivot: 1.0812

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a pivot for bullish movement.

1st support: 1.0745

Supporting reasons: Recognized as an overlap support with confluence from the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a significant area where buying pressure may intensify, potentially providing additional support for upward movement.

1st resistance: 1.0890

Supporting reasons: Noted as an overlap resistance, suggesting a significant area where selling pressure may be present, potentially hindering further upward movement

EUR/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 170.01

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pivot with confluence from the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a significant area where selling pressure may intensify, potentially leading to a bearish reaction.

1st support: 167.39

Supporting reasons: Recognized as an overlap support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a support for downward movement.

1st resistance: 171.63

Supporting reasons: Noted as a swing high resistance, indicating a significant historical level where selling pressure may be present, potentially hindering further upward movement.

EUR/GBP:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 0.8565

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, suggesting a significant historical level where selling pressure may intensify, potentially leading to a bearish reaction.

1st support: 0.8530

Supporting reasons: Recognized as a multi-swing low support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a support for downward movement.

1st resistance: 0.8590

Supporting reasons: Noted as an overlap resistance, indicating another significant historical level where selling pressure may be present, potentially hindering further upward movement.

GBP/USD:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Factors contributing to the momentum is that price is: In a bullish ascending channel

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off pivot and heads towards 1st resistance

Pivot: 1.2634

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, suggesting a level where buying interest may emerge, potentially acting as a pivot for bullish movement.

1st support: 1.2561

Supporting reasons: Recognized as a pullback support, indicating another level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing additional support for upward movement.

1st resistance: 1.2763

Supporting reasons: Noted as a pullback resistance with confluence from the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement and 100% Fibonacci Projection, suggesting a significant area where selling pressure may intensify, potentially hindering further upward movement. The Fibonacci confluence enhances the significance of this resistance level.

GBP/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off pivot and heads towards 1st resistance

Pivot: 197.47

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a pivot for bullish movement.

1st support: 195.49

Supporting reasons: Recognized as an overlap support, indicating another historical level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing additional support for upward movement.

1st resistance: 200.60

Supporting reasons: Noted as a swing high resistance with confluence from the 100% Fibonacci Projection, suggesting a significant historical level where selling pressure may be present, potentially hindering further upward movement.

USD/CHF:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 0.9152

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance with confluence from the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement and 127.20% Fibonacci Extension, suggesting a significant area where selling pressure may intensify, potentially leading to a bearish reaction.

1st support: 0.8996

Supporting reasons: Recognized as a multi-swing low support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a support for downward movement.

1st resistance: 0.9223

Supporting reasons: Noted as a swing high resistance, indicating a significant historical level where selling pressure may be present, potentially hindering further upward movement.

USD/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 156.58

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a significant historical level where selling pressure may intensify, potentially leading to a bearish reaction.

1st support: 153.63

Supporting reasons: Recognized as an overlap support, indicating a historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially acting as a support for downward movement.

1st resistance: 158.41

Supporting reasons: Noted as a swing high resistance with confluence from the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement and 127.20% Fibonacci Extension, suggesting a significant area where selling pressure may intensify, potentially hindering further upward movement. The Fibonacci confluence enhances the significance of this resistance level.

USD/CAD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is rising towards the pivot and could potentially make a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 1.3649

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where price could stall and reverse to drop lower.

1st support: 1.3590

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, suggesting an area where price has found strong buying interests in the past to potentially halt any further downward movement.

1st resistance: 1.3687

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

AUD/USD:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.6648

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 0.6593

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where price has found strong support recently to provide a basis to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 0.6714

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 127.2% Fibonacci extension level, marking a barrier that has previously capped upward movements.

NZD/USD

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.6074

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns with a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up.

1st support: 0.6038

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential area where price could find strong support to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 0.6136

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, marking a barrier that has previously capped upward movements.

US30 (DJIA):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance. In addition, the presence of a RSI bearish divergence increases the probability of a pull back towards the pivot.

Pivot: 39,310.89

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns close to a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 38,572.60

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where price could find strong buying interests to provide a solid foundation to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 40,075.11

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance at the all-time high, indicating a potential barrier that could cap any upward movements.

DE40 (DAX):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 18,534.90

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 18,319.76

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 18,894.40

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance close to the all-time high, potentially functioning as a barrier that could cap any upward movements.

US500 (S&P 500): 

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could fall towards the pivot and potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 5,276.06

Supporting reasons: Identified as pullback support, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 5,206.96

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where price could find strong buying interests to provide a solid foundation to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 5,379.91

Supporting reasons: Acts as a resistance that aligns with a 127.2% Fibonacci extension level, suggesting a significant area where selling pressures could intensify.

BTC/USD (Bitcoin):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price has made a bearish reaction off the pivot and could potentially drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 71,299.24

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, suggesting an area where selling pressures have intensified in the past.

1st support: 67,274.48

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to halt further downward movements.

1st resistance: 73,435.36

Supporting reasons: Marked by a pullback resistance, indicating a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

ETH/USD (Ethereum):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price has made a bearish reaction off the pivot and could potentially drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 3,702.62

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, suggesting an area where selling pressures have intensified in the past.

1st support: 3,457.27

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area which could provide a strong foundation to halt further downward movements.

1st resistance: 3,951.32

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 127.2% Fibonacci extension level, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

WTI/USD (Oil):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 77.22

Supporting reasons: Identified as pullback support, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 75.84

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest recently and could provide a solid foundation to halt further downward movements.

1st resistance: 80.89

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

XAU/USD (GOLD):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce-off pivot and head towards 1st resistance

Pivot: 2409.34

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support with confluence from the 23.60% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a significant historical level where buying interest may emerge, potentially acting as a pivot for bullish movement.

1st support: 2372.23

Supporting reasons: Recognized as an overlap support with confluence from the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating another historical level where buying interest has emerged, potentially providing additional support for upward movement.

1st resistance: 2474.00

Supporting reasons: Noted as a significant resistance level, suggesting a potential target for bullish movement, with confluence from the 127.20% Fibonacci Extension.

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