ICMarket

Monday 13th May 2024: Technical Outlook and Review

DXY (US Dollar Index):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Factors contributing to the momentum are that the price is in a bullish ascending channel.

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 104.99

Supporting reasons: An Overlap support, coinciding with the 61.80% Fibonacci Projection.

1st support: 104.03

Supporting reasons: Swing low support, indicating a level where buyers might step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 106.48

Supporting reasons: Multi-swing high resistance, suggesting a significant level where selling pressure might intensify, also coinciding with the 161.80% Fibonacci Extension.

EUR/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Factors contributing to the momentum are that the price is below the bearish Ichimoku cloud.

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 1.0798

Supporting reasons: An Overlap resistance, indicating a significant level where selling pressure might intensify.

1st support: 1.0728

Supporting reasons: An Overlap support, suggesting a level where buyers might step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 1.0857

Supporting reasons: An Overlap resistance, coinciding with the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement level, which could act as a barrier to further upside movement.

EUR/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 169.28

Supporting reasons: An Overlap resistance, indicating a significant level where selling pressure might intensify.

1st support: 164.50

Supporting reasons: Swing low support, suggesting a level where buyers might step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 171.62

Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

EUR/GBP:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.8582

Supporting reasons: Pullback support, suggesting a level where buyers might enter the market.

1st support: 0.8528

Supporting reasons: Multi-swing low support, indicating a level where buying interest has previously been strong.

1st resistance: 0.8644

Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

GBP/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Factors contributing to the momentum: Price is below the bearish Ichimoku cloud.

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 1.2564

Supporting reasons: Multi-swing high resistance, indicating a significant level where selling pressure might intensify.

1st support: 1.2455

Supporting reasons: An Overlap support, suggesting a level where buying interest could emerge.

1st resistance: 1.2710

Supporting reasons: An Overlap resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

GBP/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 196.19

Supporting reasons: Pullback resistance, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level, indicating a potential area of selling pressure.

1st support: 191.83

Supporting reasons: Swing low support, suggesting a level where buyers might step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 200.60

Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

USD/CHF:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Factors contributing to the momentum is that price is: Above the bullish Ichimoku cloud

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.8997

Supporting reasons: Multi-swing low support, indicating a level where buyers might be interested in entering the market.

1st support: 0.8898

Supporting reasons: Pullback support, suggesting a level where buyers could potentially step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 0.9214

Supporting reasons: Multi-swing high resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

USD/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Factors contributing to the momentum is that price is: Within the bullish Ichimoku cloud

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 156.26

Supporting reasons: Pullback resistance, indicating a level where selling pressure might intensify.

1st support: 151.77

Supporting reasons: An Overlap support, suggesting a level where buyers might step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 158.48

Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

USD/CAD:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price has made a bullish reaction off the pivot and could potentially rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 1.3630

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where buying interests have increased recently.

1st support: 1.3435

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where price could find strong buying interests to potentially halt any further downward movement.

1st resistance: 1.3828

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

AUD/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could rise towards the pivot and potentially make a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 0.6626

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where selling pressures have intensified recently.

1st support: 0.6471

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where price has found strong support in the past to provide a basis to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 0.6762

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a barrier that has previously capped upward movements.

NZD/USD

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could rise towards the pivot and potentially make a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 0.6059

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback resistance that align close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where selling pressures have intensified recently.

1st support: 0.5872

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support, suggesting a potential area where price has found strong support in the past to provide a basis to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 0.6197

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, marking a barrier that has previously capped upward movements.

US30 (DJIA):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is rising towards the pivot and could potentially make a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 39,862.17

Supporting reasons: Identified as a ppullback resistance that aligns close to the all-time high.

1st support: 38,560.25

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where price could find strong buying interest to could provide a solid foundation to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 40,802.68

Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that aligns with a 127.2% Fibonacci extension level, indicating a potential barrier that could cap any upward movements.

DE40 (DAX):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is rising towards the pivot and could potentially make a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 18,894.01

Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that aligns with a 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.

1st support: 18,534.90

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to halt further downward movement.

1st resistance: 19,305.62

Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that aligns with a 161.8% Fibonacci extension level, potentially functioning as a barrier that could cap any upward movements.

US500 (S&P 500): 

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price is rising towards the pivot and could potentially make a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 5,263.47

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns close to the all-time high.

1st support: 5,117.70

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where buying interests could increase for a potential rebound in price.

1st resistance: 5,381.06

Supporting reasons: Acts as resistance that aligns with a 127.2% Fibonacci extension level, suggesting a significant area where selling pressures could intensify.

BTC/USD (Bitcoin):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 58,252.12

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could increase.

1st support: 50,744.70

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting an area where buying interests could pick up to halt further downward movements.

1st resistance: 66,836.40

Supporting reasons: Marked by a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

ETH/USD (Ethereum):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price is trading close to the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 2,924.71

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where buying interests could increase.

1st support: 2,602.49

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area which could provide a strong foundation to halt further downward movements.

1st resistance: 3,283.31

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

WTI/USD (Oil):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price is trading close to the pivot and could potentially make a bullish reaction off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 77.77

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where buying interests have increased recently.

1st support: 72.31

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest recently and could provide a solid foundation to halt further downward movements.

1st resistance: 82.60

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

XAU/USD (GOLD):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 2361.00

Supporting reasons: An Overlap resistance combined with the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating a significant level where selling pressure might intensify.

1st support: 2285.61

Supporting reasons: Multi-swing low support, suggesting a level where buyers might step in to support the price.

1st resistance: 2432.67

Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, representing a level where selling pressure might increase, potentially acting as a barrier to further upside movement.

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