ICMarket

Monday 15th November: Technical Outlook and Review

DXY: 

On the H4 timeframe, prices are on a bullish momentum. Prices are hovering in between our 1st resistance at 95.471 in line with 127.2%, 200% and 161.8% Fibonacci extension and 1st support at 94.715 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. As technical indicators are not showing clear indications, we prefer to remain neutral for now.

Areas of consideration:

●      H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 95.471

●      H4 time frame, 1st support at 94.715

XAU/USD (GOLD):

On the H4 chart, prices have recently broken out of our ascending trendline and are on bullish momentum. We see potential for prices to bounce from our 1st support at 1858.67 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st resistance at 1875.61 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 200% Fibonacci projection. Technical indicators are showing bullish momentum.

Areas of consideration:
●      4h 1st support at 1858.67

●      4h 1st resistance at 1875.61

EUR/USD: 

On the H4 chart price is near the first support level of 1.14356 which is also 161.8% Fibonacci projection and graphical swing low level. Price can potentially go to the first resistance of 1.15143 which is also 100% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively if price were to break the first support level, it can potentially dip to the 2nd support level of 1.14177 which is also the graphical support level. Our bullish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator as price has recently bounced from it.

Areas of consideration :

H4 first resistance – 1.15143

H4 first support – 1.14356

H4 2nd support – 1.14177

USD/CHF:

In reference to last week’s analysis, price indeed bounced and hit our 1st resistance at 0.92487. On the H4 timeframe, we can see that price have broken out of the descending trendline resistance, signifying a bullish momentum. We can expect the price to bounce from 1st Support in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection  towards 1st Resistance in line with 78.6%Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is further supported by the RSI indicator where it is abiding to the ascending trendline.

Areas of consideration:

●      Watch 1st Support at 0.91858

●      Watch 1st Resistance at 0.92487

GBP/USD:

On the H4 chart, price is trading in a descending trendline and is near the first support level of 1.34219 which is 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially go to the first resistance level of 1.36049 which is 50% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Alternatively, if price were to break the first support level , it can potentially dip to the 2nd support of 1.33402 which is also the graphical overlap support level. Our bullish indicator is supported by stochastic as it recently bounced off support.

 

H4 first resistance – 1.36049

H4 first support – 1.34219

H4 second support – 1.33402

USD/JPY: 

On the H4 timeframe, price is abiding to the daily descending trendline resistance, signifying a bearish momentum. We can expect price to drop  from 1st Resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards the 1st Support in line with 61.8% FIbonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is further supported by the MACD indicator where the MACD line crossed below  the signal line.

Areas of consideration:

●      H4 1st resistance level 114.076

●      H4 1st support level 113.385

AUD/USD:

On the H4, we can see that price broke past the ascending trendline support, signifying a bearish trend momentum.  We can expect price to drop from 1st Resistance in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection towards the 1st Support in line with the previous swing low. Our bearish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator where the%K line is approaching the resistance level.

Areas of consideration:

●      H4 1st resistance level 0.73552

●      H4 1st support level 0.72792

NZD/USD:

On the H4 timeframe, prices are on a bearish momentum. We see potential for prices to dip from our 1st resistance at 0.70391 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st support at 0.70103 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. If prices break our 1st support, prices can potentially dip further towards our 2nd support at 0.69976 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

●      H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.70391

●      H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.70103

 

USD/CAD:

On the H4, with price bouncing off the resistance on the stochastics indicator and the graphical resistance at 1.2602 in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1st resistance, we have a bearish bias that price will to 1st support at 1.24935 in line with the graphical swing overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and possibly to 2nd support at 1.24100 in line with the horizontal swing low support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take note that this is if only if price can stay below the intermediary resistance at 1.25497 which is a horizontal overlap resistance. Alternatively, we may see price break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance at 1.257083 in line with the 100% Fibonacci projection level and horizontal overlap resistance.

Areas of consideration:

●      H4 time frame, support at  1.24935

●      H4 time frame, resistance at 1.24935

OIL:

On the H4 timeframe,we can see price testing both the ichimoku and graphical horizontal resistance at 82.33. If price can stay below these resistance, we are expecting to see price drop from our 1st resistance at 83.86 in line with the 23.6%  Fibonacci retracement level to 1st support at 80.14 in line with our horizontal swing low support, 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance and head for 2nd resistance at 83.86 in line with our 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.

Areas of consideration:

●      H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 83.86

●      H4 time frame, 1st support of 80.14

Dow Jones Industrial Average:

On the H4, with price testing the support on the stochastics indicator and the horizontal swing low support at 1st support in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 35910, we are biased that price will rise from here to 1st resistance at 36572  in line with 61.8% and 100% Fibonacci projection. Alternatively, we may see price break 1st support and head for 2nd support at 35538 in line with graphical swing low.

Areas of consideration:

●      4H resistance at 36572

●      4H support at 35910

The accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information contained on this site cannot be guaranteed. IC Markets does not warranty, guarantee or make any representations, or assume any liability regarding financial results based on the use of the information in the site.

News, views, opinions, recommendations and other information obtained from sources outside of www.icmarkets.com.au, used in this site are believed to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness. All such information is subject to change at any time without notice. IC Markets assumes no responsibility for the content of any linked site.

The fact that such links may exist does not indicate approval or endorsement of any material contained on any linked site. IC Markets is not liable for any harm caused by the transmission, through accessing the services or information on this site, of a computer virus, or other computer code or programming device that might be used to access, delete, damage, disable, disrupt or otherwise impede in any manner, the operation of the site or of any user’s software, hardware, data or property.